Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -650 VMI +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -9.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -8.8 (+11.2) | 140.4 (+9.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -9.4 (+10.6) | 141.5 (+8.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -9.0 (+11.0) | 140.5 (+9.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -9.4 (+10.6) | 141.7 (+8.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WOF 74 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#139) | -8.3 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#172) | -1.18 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#159) | -1.23 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#124) | 0.445 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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