Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +410 WOF -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +14 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -10.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -9.4 (-4.6) | 147.1 (+0.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -9.6 (-4.4) | 147.0 (+1.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -10.2 (-3.8) | 146.2 (+1.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -10.0 (-4.0) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WOF 74 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L17 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#356) | -3.4 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#354) | -0.06 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#353) | -0.51 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#357) | 0.502 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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