Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +700 WOF -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -12.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -11.7 (-0.3) | 148.6 (-12.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -11.8 (-0.2) | 147.7 (-11.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -13.5 (+1.5) | 149.5 (-13.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -13.0 (+1.0) | 148.6 (-12.6) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 11-2 |
| Away | 0-15 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.9 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -17.4 (#360) | -1.4 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#360) | 0.22 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.91 (#358) | 0.03 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#359) | 0.512 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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