Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -2000 CARK +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +20 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -23.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -20.9 (-0.9) | 144.1 (-0.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -19.0 (+1.0) | 144.5 (-0.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -17.2 (+2.8) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -20.2 (-0.2) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2022 | LIB 85 – 66 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 19-1 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 82.4 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#69) | -10.9 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#87) | -1.31 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#88) | -2.05 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#89) | 0.441 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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