Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +15 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | USC -1.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -4.2 (+10.8) | 136.8 (-9.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -2.7 (+12.3) | 135.7 (-8.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -2.3 (+12.7) | 135.8 (-8.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -2.5 (+12.5) | 135.1 (-8.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | USC 68 – 64 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | USC 62 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 22, 2022 | USC 79 – 67 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2021 | USC 93 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 12, 2021 | USC 91 – 85 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#72) | 10.1 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#60) | 1.06 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#68) | 1.32 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#62) | 0.526 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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