Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +115 USC -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +13 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -2.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -0.8 (-13.8) | 140.6 (-29.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.3 (-14.3) | 139.8 (-28.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.5 (-14.5) | 141.2 (-30.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.4 (-14.4) | 140.3 (-29.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | USC 68 – 64 UTAH |
| Jan 15, 2023 | USC 71 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 22, 2022 | USC 79 – 67 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2021 | USC 93 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 12, 2021 | USC 91 – 85 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#51) | 10.6 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#94) | 1.78 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#90) | 2.22 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#154) | 0.582 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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