Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | USC -300 UTAH +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +6 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | USC -7.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+37.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -6.3 (-0.3) | 135.0 (+41.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -6.7 (-0.7) | 138.3 (+37.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -6.4 (-0.4) | 139.0 (+37.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -6.0 (-0.0) | 139.1 (+36.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | USC 68 – 64 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | USC 62 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 15, 2023 | USC 71 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 22, 2022 | USC 79 – 67 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2021 | USC 93 – 73 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#13) | 7.6 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#25) | 0.90 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#22) | 1.39 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#10) | 0.514 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.