Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | USC -115 UTAH -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -4.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.6 (+6.6) | 149.7 (-17.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -2.2 (+6.2) | 150.1 (-18.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -2.1 (+6.1) | 151.2 (-19.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -2.3 (+6.3) | 152.5 (-20.5) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | USC 62 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 15, 2023 | USC 71 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 22, 2022 | USC 79 – 67 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2021 | USC 93 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 12, 2021 | USC 91 – 85 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#102) | 12.5 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#159) | 1.62 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#138) | 1.93 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#159) | 0.568 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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