Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +12 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -4.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -4.2 (-7.8) | 138.8 (+7.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -4.4 (-7.6) | 139.8 (+6.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -4.1 (-7.9) | 137.4 (+8.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -3.4 (-8.6) | 138.7 (+7.3) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | USC 68 – 64 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | USC 62 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 15, 2023 | USC 71 – 56 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2021 | USC 93 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 12, 2021 | USC 91 – 85 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#109) | 11.9 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#171) | 2.73 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#153) | 3.12 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#161) | 0.611 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.