Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | USC -320 UTAH +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +20 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | USC -11.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+33.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -8.6 (+11.4) | 141.5 (+24.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -8.7 (+11.3) | 137.8 (+28.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -8.2 (+11.8) | 136.4 (+29.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -7.8 (+12.2) | 138.3 (+27.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | USC 68 – 64 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | USC 62 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 15, 2023 | USC 71 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 22, 2022 | USC 79 – 67 UTAH |
| Mar 12, 2021 | USC 91 – 85 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 9-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#12) | 9.6 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#6) | 1.63 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.14 (#12) | 2.75 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#8) | 0.623 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 43.7 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.0% | 41.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.