Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | MILW +100 WRST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -5.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -3.7 (-7.7) | 155.0 (-3.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -1.9 (-5.9) | 156.2 (-4.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -3.4 (-7.4) | 153.1 (-1.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -3.7 (-7.7) | 154.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WRST 76 – 69 MILW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | WRST 76 – 70 MILW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MILW 88 – 80 WRST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MILW 95 – 79 WRST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WRST 95 – 81 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#189) | -1.9 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#111) | -0.80 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#141) | -0.85 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#110) | 0.437 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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