Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MSM +220 QUIN -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +7 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -4.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -5.2 (-1.8) | 133.3 (-24.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -4.4 (-2.6) | 133.6 (-24.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -5.5 (-1.5) | 133.5 (-24.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -5.5 (-1.5) | 133.7 (-24.7) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | QUIN 77 – 62 MSM |
| Jan 4, 2026 | QUIN 80 – 69 MSM |
| Mar 7, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 70 MSM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | QUIN 91 – 57 MSM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MSM 96 – 79 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#255) | 3.4 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#303) | 0.54 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#297) | 0.82 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#314) | 0.530 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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