Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -800 RID +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -15.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -12.8 (-15.8) | 143.0 (-6.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -13.4 (-16.4) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -12.2 (-15.2) | 142.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -13.2 (-16.2) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-4 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#58) | -2.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#83) | -0.91 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#85) | -1.10 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#57) | 0.463 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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