Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -125 BRAD +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +25 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -2.0 (+27.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -0.7 (+25.7) | 128.6 (+18.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -0.4 (+25.4) | 128.4 (+18.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -1.3 (+26.3) | 130.1 (+16.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.4 (+26.4) | 130.9 (+16.1) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 16-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#122) | 9.1 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#81) | 0.84 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#87) | 0.96 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#67) | 0.542 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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