Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -200 UNCO +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -7.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (-29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -5.1 (-7.1) | 156.4 (-20.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.3 (-6.3) | 154.5 (-18.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -4.8 (-6.8) | 157.2 (-21.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -5.2 (-7.2) | 157.2 (-21.2) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#214) | -5.9 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#179) | -0.98 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#199) | -1.06 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#163) | 0.459 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.1% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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