Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -195 NU +162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +7 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -1.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -2.5 (+4.5) | 136.9 (+26.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -2.8 (+4.2) | 139.3 (+23.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -2.4 (+4.6) | 143.0 (+20.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -2.1 (+4.9) | 137.0 (+26.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MICH 87 – 75 NU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MICH 80 – 76 NU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NU 76 – 62 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MICH 68 – 51 NU |
| Jan 26, 2022 | MICH 72 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#74) | 10.1 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#84) | 1.73 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#62) | 1.96 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#97) | 0.575 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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