Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | NU +950 MICH -1650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +12 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -18.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -13.9 (+1.9) | 148.4 (+13.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -12.0 (-0.0) | 152.1 (+9.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -11.8 (-0.2) | 152.5 (+9.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -12.7 (+0.7) | 149.2 (+12.8) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2025 | MICH 80 – 76 NU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NU 76 – 62 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MICH 68 – 51 NU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MICH 85 – 78 NU |
| Jan 26, 2022 | MICH 72 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 19-1 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 12-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 87.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#69) | 30.3 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#104) | 4.95 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#99) | 6.66 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#151) | 0.691 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.10 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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