Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NU -1000 MICH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NU -7.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -8.5 (+5.5) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NU -8.0 (+6.0) | 141.3 (-3.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NU -7.9 (+6.1) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -7.9 (+6.1) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MICH 87 – 75 NU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MICH 80 – 76 NU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MICH 68 – 51 NU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MICH 85 – 78 NU |
| Jan 26, 2022 | MICH 72 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#61) | 4.7 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#33) | 0.29 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#27) | 0.79 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#58) | 0.513 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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