Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -450 NU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -13.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -11.8 (-7.8) | 149.2 (+6.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -10.0 (-6.0) | 149.2 (+6.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -11.8 (-7.8) | 148.7 (+7.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -11.8 (-7.8) | 149.9 (+6.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MICH 87 – 75 NU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NU 76 – 62 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MICH 68 – 51 NU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MICH 85 – 78 NU |
| Jan 26, 2022 | MICH 72 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 20.0 (#9) | 10.6 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#29) | 1.52 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#23) | 2.25 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#14) | 0.566 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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