Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -7.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -6.1 (-4.1) | 145.2 (-3.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -7.4 (-5.4) | 142.6 (-0.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.5 (-4.5) | 146.2 (-4.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -6.3 (-4.3) | 146.4 (-4.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MICH 87 – 75 NU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MICH 80 – 76 NU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NU 76 – 62 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MICH 68 – 51 NU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MICH 85 – 78 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#31) | 7.6 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#72) | 0.95 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#61) | 1.15 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#62) | 0.517 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.