Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NU -188 MICH +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +17 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -7.2 (-24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -5.8 (-22.8) | 140.6 (-21.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -5.9 (-22.9) | 138.7 (-19.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -5.7 (-22.7) | 140.1 (-21.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.1 (-23.1) | 141.0 (-22.0) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MICH 87 – 75 NU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MICH 80 – 76 NU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NU 76 – 62 MICH |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MICH 85 – 78 NU |
| Jan 26, 2022 | MICH 72 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#43) | 6.8 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#47) | 1.10 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#52) | 1.82 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#64) | 0.543 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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