Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -400 TTU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -9.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -9.3 (-7.3) | 144.4 (-2.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -9.7 (-7.7) | 147.4 (-5.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -10.0 (-8.0) | 148.3 (-6.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -10.6 (-8.6) | 147.6 (-5.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2024 | TEX 81 – 69 TTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TTU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 14, 2023 | TTU 74 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TTU 61 – 55 TEX |
| Feb 2, 2022 | TTU 77 – 64 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 17-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#8) | 10.0 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#11) | 0.60 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#9) | 0.83 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#20) | 0.500 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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