Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Big 12 Conference · Moody Center · January 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -8.0 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money TEX -400 / TTU +310
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +2 142 Won
Massey TEX -9.9 (-7.9)
Massey Totals 143.6 (-1.6)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -9.3 (-7.3) 144.4 (-2.4) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -9.7 (-7.7) 147.4 (-5.4) 83%
Baseline ML TEX -10.0 (-8.0) 148.3 (-6.3) 84%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -10.6 (-8.6) 147.6 (-5.6) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2024 TEX 8169 TTU
Jan 7, 2024 TTU 7867 TEX
Feb 14, 2023 TTU 7467 TEX
Feb 19, 2022 TTU 6155 TEX
Feb 2, 2022 TTU 7764 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX TTU
Overall 29-9 16-16
Conference 12-6 5-13
Home 17-1 11-6
Away 4-6 3-7
Neutral 8-2 2-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 78.0 73.3
Avg Pts Against 67.8 69.0
Massey 16.0 (#8) 10.0 (#43)
Bradley-Terry 2.99 (#11) 0.60 (#118)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.63 (#9) 0.83 (#113)
RPI 0.616 (#20) 0.500 (#179)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX TTU
FG% 48.6% 48.5%
3PT% 33.6% 34.6%
REB / G 37.4 35.3
OREB / G 11.3 9.5
AST / TO 1.48 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.5% 55.0%
TOV% 16.4% 20.8%
ORB% 31.6% 30.6%
FT Rate 20.8% 28.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 23.9% 22.8%
DRB% 73.4% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 16.1%

Game Analysis

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