Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Big 12 Conference · Frank Erwin Center · February 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -4.0 Away covered
O/U 129.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TTU +6 116 Lost
Massey TEX -1.2 (-7.2)
Massey Totals 123.1 (-7.1)
Bradley-Terry 50%
Weighted B-T 52%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -2.4 (-8.4) 126.1 (-10.1) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -1.0 (-7.0) 130.9 (-14.9) 55%
Baseline ML TEX -1.1 (-7.1) 131.9 (-15.9) 52%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -1.1 (-7.1) 129.6 (-13.6) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2024 TEX 8169 TTU
Jan 7, 2024 TTU 7867 TEX
Feb 14, 2023 TTU 7467 TEX
Jan 15, 2023 TEX 7270 TTU
Feb 2, 2022 TTU 7764 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX TTU
Overall 22-12 27-10
Conference 10-8 12-6
Home 16-3 18-0
Away 4-7 3-8
Neutral 2-2 6-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.8 72.1
Avg Pts Against 60.6 60.6
Massey 15.4 (#16) 17.0 (#13)
Bradley-Terry 2.70 (#19) 3.17 (#11)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.41 (#17) 3.89 (#11)
RPI 0.587 (#47) 0.597 (#31)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX TTU
FG% 45.0% 47.0%
3PT% 32.9% 31.8%
REB / G 33.5 37.3
OREB / G 10.3 11.2
AST / TO 1.17 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 52.6%
TOV% 18.0% 19.5%
ORB% 32.1% 34.2%
FT Rate 23.6% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 46.0%
Opp TOV% 24.2% 23.5%
DRB% 70.9% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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