Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Big 12 Conference · Frank Erwin Center · February 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -4.0 Away covered
O/U 129.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TTU +6 116 Lost
Massey TEX -1.2 (-7.2) — —
Massey Totals — 123.1 (-7.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 50% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 52% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -2.4 (-8.4) 126.1 (-10.1) 63% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -1.0 (-7.0) 130.9 (-14.9) 55% ✗
Baseline ML TEX -1.1 (-7.1) 131.9 (-15.9) 52% ✗
Baseline Plus ML TEX -1.1 (-7.1) 129.6 (-13.6) 54% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2024 TEX 81 – 69 TTU
Jan 7, 2024 TTU 78 – 67 TEX
Feb 14, 2023 TTU 74 – 67 TEX
Jan 15, 2023 TEX 72 – 70 TTU
Feb 2, 2022 TTU 77 – 64 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX TTU
Overall 22-12 27-10
Conference 10-8 12-6
Home 16-3 18-0
Away 4-7 3-8
Neutral 2-2 6-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.8 72.1
Avg Pts Against 60.6 60.6
Massey 15.4 (#16) 17.0 (#13)
Bradley-Terry 2.70 (#19) 3.17 (#11)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.41 (#17) 3.89 (#11)
RPI 0.587 (#47) 0.597 (#31)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX TTU
FG% 45.0% 47.0%
3PT% 32.9% 31.8%
REB / G 33.5 37.3
OREB / G 10.3 11.2
AST / TO 1.17 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 52.6%
TOV% 18.0% 19.5%
ORB% 32.1% 34.2%
FT Rate 23.6% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 46.0%
Opp TOV% 24.2% 23.5%
DRB% 70.9% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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