Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -175 TEX +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +12 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -3.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -3.6 (-15.6) | 143.3 (+6.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -3.4 (-15.4) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -3.6 (-15.6) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -3.5 (-15.5) | 142.7 (+7.3) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2024 | TTU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 14, 2023 | TTU 74 – 67 TEX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | TEX 72 – 70 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TTU 61 – 55 TEX |
| Feb 2, 2022 | TTU 77 – 64 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#31) | 12.3 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#37) | 1.76 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#43) | 2.14 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#41) | 0.567 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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