Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -4.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -6.5 (+6.5) | 125.2 (+15.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -5.8 (+7.2) | 129.3 (+11.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -6.5 (+6.5) | 128.5 (+12.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -5.3 (+7.7) | 127.5 (+13.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2024 | TEX 81 – 69 TTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TTU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 14, 2023 | TTU 74 – 67 TEX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | TEX 72 – 70 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TTU 61 – 55 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 18-0 | 16-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#14) | 15.0 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#14) | 2.44 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#15) | 3.37 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#51) | 0.574 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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