Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | TEX -320 TTU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -3.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -4.1 (-15.1) | 138.6 (+6.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -4.1 (-15.1) | 139.3 (+5.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -4.6 (-15.6) | 139.7 (+5.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -4.5 (-15.5) | 140.0 (+5.0) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2024 | TEX 81 – 69 TTU |
| Feb 14, 2023 | TTU 74 – 67 TEX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | TEX 72 – 70 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TTU 61 – 55 TEX |
| Feb 2, 2022 | TTU 77 – 64 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#48) | 10.6 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#44) | 1.55 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#43) | 1.86 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#75) | 0.565 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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