Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +188 SCU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +11 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -3.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -3.9 (-7.1) | 152.7 (+20.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -5.8 (-5.2) | 152.6 (+20.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -3.8 (-7.2) | 151.3 (+21.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -3.6 (-7.4) | 151.3 (+21.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-10 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#206) | 5.9 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#211) | 1.47 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#215) | 1.96 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#265) | 0.581 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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