Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -700 STMN +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -13.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -12.6 (-0.6) | 155.2 (-5.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -12.3 (-0.3) | 153.7 (-3.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -11.6 (+0.4) | 157.1 (-7.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -12.7 (-0.7) | 158.2 (-8.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 11-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#61) | -1.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#55) | 0.17 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#57) | -0.12 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#37) | 0.489 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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