Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -8.0 Home covered |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -6.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -5.2 (+3.8) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -4.6 (+4.4) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -5.2 (+3.8) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -5.8 (+3.2) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#125) | 0.3 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#127) | -0.45 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#110) | 0.03 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#164) | 0.480 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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