Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | GB +450 NKU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +21 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -8.9 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -9.1 (-11.9) | 130.9 (-3.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -9.2 (-11.8) | 131.0 (-4.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -8.6 (-12.4) | 133.7 (-6.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -8.3 (-12.7) | 134.1 (-7.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-17 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -16.3 (#358) | -3.5 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#352) | -0.28 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#354) | -0.15 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#353) | 0.483 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 27.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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