Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -225 SEA +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +5 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -8.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -6.6 (-11.6) | 142.9 (+22.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -5.6 (-10.6) | 143.1 (+21.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -7.6 (-12.6) | 140.8 (+24.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -7.3 (-12.3) | 140.1 (+24.9) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | UVU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVU 61 – 55 SEA |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UVU 70 – 66 SEA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SEA 62 – 61 UVU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVU 78 – 72 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 12-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#83) | 2.2 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#42) | 1.01 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#33) | 0.97 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#54) | 0.543 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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