See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Big South Conference · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -3.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money CAM -150 / WIN +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual WIN +4 152 Lost
Massey CAM -7.6 (-11.6) — —
Massey Totals — 142.8 (+9.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CAM -4.5 (-8.5) 138.0 (+14.0) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -3.5 (-7.5) 138.8 (+13.2) 69% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -4.7 (-8.7) 138.8 (+13.2) 68% ✗
Baseline ML CAM -4.8 (-8.8) 139.7 (+12.3) 70% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2023 WIN 95 – 93 CAM
Jan 10, 2022 WIN 74 – 72 CAM
Mar 7, 2021 WIN 80 – 53 CAM
Dec 31, 2020 WIN 94 – 76 CAM
Dec 30, 2020 WIN 84 – 83 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM WIN
Overall 16-18 15-17
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 8-6 10-4
Away 4-10 4-11
Neutral 4-2 1-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.7 72.8
Avg Pts Against 69.0 75.8
Massey -3.0 (#232) -6.6 (#288)
Bradley-Terry -0.66 (#241) -0.98 (#270)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.68 (#225) -1.41 (#281)
RPI 0.454 (#264) 0.445 (#278)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM WIN
FG% 44.2% 45.5%
3PT% 32.2% 36.0%
REB / G 31.5 30.1
OREB / G 7.4 8.5
AST / TO 0.94 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 53.5%
TOV% 19.8% 22.0%
ORB% 23.2% 27.5%
FT Rate 25.3% 28.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 17.8%
DRB% 75.1% 62.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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