Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WIN -163 CAM +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +2 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -3.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+45.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -1.5 (+0.5) | 140.9 (+47.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -2.7 (-0.7) | 138.9 (+49.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -2.3 (-0.3) | 142.1 (+45.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -2.0 (-0.0) | 143.5 (+44.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2023 | WIN 78 – 74 CAM |
| Jan 10, 2022 | WIN 74 – 72 CAM |
| Mar 7, 2021 | WIN 80 – 53 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2020 | WIN 94 – 76 CAM |
| Dec 30, 2020 | WIN 84 – 83 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#241) | -3.8 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#255) | -0.89 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#253) | -1.03 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#244) | 0.463 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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