Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WIN -700 CAM +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +27 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -12.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -13.2 (+13.8) | 142.8 (-9.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -10.7 (+16.3) | 137.9 (-4.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -13.9 (+13.1) | 142.1 (-9.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -12.4 (+14.6) | 142.3 (-9.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIN 95 – 93 CAM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WIN 78 – 74 CAM |
| Jan 10, 2022 | WIN 74 – 72 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2020 | WIN 94 – 76 CAM |
| Dec 30, 2020 | WIN 84 – 83 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-2 | 17-10 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 11-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 10-0 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#83) | -2.7 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#50) | -0.69 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#39) | -1.01 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#29) | 0.489 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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