Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WIN -210 CAM +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -4.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -2.7 (-0.7) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -5.8 (-3.8) | 138.4 (+7.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -2.8 (-0.8) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -3.2 (-1.2) | 141.1 (+4.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIN 95 – 93 CAM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WIN 78 – 74 CAM |
| Mar 7, 2021 | WIN 80 – 53 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2020 | WIN 94 – 76 CAM |
| Dec 30, 2020 | WIN 84 – 83 CAM |
Game Analysis
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