Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +18 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -17.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -15.1 (+2.9) | 149.3 (+20.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -14.2 (+3.8) | 145.9 (+24.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -13.7 (+4.3) | 150.2 (+19.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -14.7 (+3.3) | 150.9 (+19.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIN 95 – 93 CAM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WIN 78 – 74 CAM |
| Jan 10, 2022 | WIN 74 – 72 CAM |
| Mar 7, 2021 | WIN 80 – 53 CAM |
| Dec 30, 2020 | WIN 84 – 83 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-2 | 17-10 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 11-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 10-0 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#47) | -3.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#19) | -0.43 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#36) | -1.48 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#32) | 0.511 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 17.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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