Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +1 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -23.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -17.2 (-16.2) | 147.8 (+19.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -17.0 (-16.0) | 145.4 (+21.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -16.4 (-15.4) | 150.8 (+16.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -18.0 (-17.0) | 150.1 (+16.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIN 95 – 93 CAM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WIN 78 – 74 CAM |
| Jan 10, 2022 | WIN 74 – 72 CAM |
| Mar 7, 2021 | WIN 80 – 53 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2020 | WIN 94 – 76 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-2 | 17-10 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 11-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 10-0 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#23) | -6.3 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#34) | -0.39 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#58) | -1.49 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#39) | 0.486 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 26.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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