Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -800 SCST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -17.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -11.8 (-7.8) | 154.9 (-16.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -12.2 (-8.2) | 155.1 (-17.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -11.5 (-7.5) | 155.0 (-17.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -12.1 (-8.1) | 154.5 (-16.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SCST 80 – 64 NCCU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SCST 85 – 72 NCCU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SCST 88 – 67 NCCU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SCST 87 – 71 NCCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NCCU 82 – 77 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 2-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 84.7 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#160) | -12.8 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#217) | -1.60 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#206) | -2.44 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#210) | 0.412 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.