Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +21 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -0.6 (-20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -2.0 (-19.0) | 129.9 (+1.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -1.7 (-19.3) | 131.2 (-0.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -1.1 (-19.9) | 130.3 (+0.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -1.0 (-20.0) | 131.4 (-0.4) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DREX 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 20, 2026 | DREX 70 – 61 NE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | DREX 83 – 78 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DREX 73 – 59 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#254) | -0.1 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#269) | -0.59 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#263) | -0.48 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#274) | 0.439 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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