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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–18 on winners spread MAE 8.8 54 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Michigan @ Iowa	+5.9	156.1	77%	84–93	✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville	-2.8	139.9	36%	46–54	✗
Troy @ Georgia State	-3.5	131.3	31%	65–53	✓
Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion	+7.6	142.1	78%	67–66	✗
Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy	-1.9	153.9	45%	84–79	✓
Robert Morris @ Oakland	+3.2	139.9	68%	65–69	✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ IU Indianapolis	-13.1	139.6	13%	70–55	✓
Drexel @ Stony Brook	-7.1	126.4	27%	66–67	✗
North Alabama @ Liberty	+17.2	141.5	89%	54–72	✓
Central Arkansas @ Queens University	+11.7	155.2	86%	92–91	✗
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State	+0.8	132.0	61%	68–81	✓
North Florida @ Jacksonville State	+1.3	144.7	60%	63–72	✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Eastern Kentucky	-2.8	143.2	46%	76–97	✗
Louisiana @ UL Monroe	-7.0	142.5	24%	86–73	✓
Texas State @ Arkansas State	-2.6	123.4	30%	61–58	✓
James Madison @ South Alabama	-4.3	141.0	39%	62–63	✗
St. Thomas @ Kansas City	+1.8	135.4	61%	60–81	✓
Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts	+13.6	154.0	87%	63–87	✓
North Dakota @ Omaha	+5.1	138.9	70%	63–69	✓
Wright State @ Green Bay	-10.1	147.6	19%	99–67	✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee	+3.4	137.6	60%	75–80	✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State	+6.4	144.1	75%	71–94	✓
East Texas A&M @ Houston Christian	-7.2	147.7	25%	59–68	✗
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	+5.8	150.5	70%	85–82	✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech	+1.1	136.4	61%	62–79	✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Eastern Illinois	-7.3	138.7	22%	80–62	✓
Nicholls @ Lamar	-6.2	143.6	34%	66–69	✗
Colorado @ USC	+2.7	142.6	66%	61–68	✓
Arizona State @ Oregon	+3.1	138.7	65%	90–73	✗
McNeese @ Northwestern State	+8.8	142.4	81%	75–89	✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word	+1.8	145.3	48%	85–79	✗
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon	+11.9	131.6	85%	48–80	✓
Sam Houston @ Southern Utah	-2.9	144.8	41%	74–86	✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Utah Tech	+1.4	141.8	54%	85–72	✗
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's	+15.2	130.1	86%	62–76	✓
Southern Miss @ Marshall	+4.8	144.5	76%	67–89	✓
North Dakota State @ Denver	+0.3	144.5	50%	90–70	✗
UT Martin @ Tennessee State	+2.9	157.1	62%	77–66	✗
Little Rock @ Southern Indiana	+9.3	153.0	82%	67–74	✓
Weber State @ Montana	+3.4	132.4	61%	59–57	✗
Idaho State @ Montana State	+11.0	135.6	84%	68–81	✓
Lipscomb @ Austin Peay	+0.2	137.6	51%	87–65	✗
Gonzaga @ BYU	-0.5	149.1	36%	75–74	✓
New Mexico State @ Seattle U	+3.7	144.1	74%	66–69	✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego	+2.3	158.9	68%	89–92	✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State	+8.3	136.1	77%	58–77	✓
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State	+5.7	145.7	72%	64–72	✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State	+6.3	151.2	74%	74–75	✓
Utah @ UCLA	+13.2	137.2	86%	49–68	✓
Arizona @ Oregon State	-13.1	145.5	13%	86–74	✓
Stanford @ Washington	+2.1	134.7	66%	69–86	✓
San Francisco @ Portland	-0.7	146.9	48%	87–92	✗
Yale @ Cornell	+1.7	143.9	67%	82–94	✓
Kent State @ Ohio	-2.7	141.2	37%	70–65	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.