Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -250 NAU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -8.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -6.1 (-5.1) | 154.4 (-5.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -6.3 (-5.3) | 151.2 (-2.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -6.3 (-5.3) | 154.4 (-5.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -6.4 (-5.4) | 153.9 (-4.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#198) | -6.3 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#185) | -1.04 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#199) | -1.50 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#155) | 0.446 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.2% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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