You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
Summit League · Baxter Arena · January 13, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OMA -4.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money OMA -188 / UND +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total OMA win
Actual OMA +6 132 Won
Massey OMA -6.4 (-0.4) — —
Massey Totals — 141.4 (-9.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 87% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OMA -4.2 (+1.8) 139.0 (-7.0) 69% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OMA -5.1 (+0.9) 138.9 (-6.9) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OMA -4.8 (+1.2) 141.6 (-9.6) 70% ✓
Baseline ML OMA -4.7 (+1.3) 142.2 (-10.2) 69% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 UND 76 – 73 OMA
Jan 9, 2026 OMA 90 – 79 UND
Feb 7, 2025 OMA 80 – 77 UND
Jan 3, 2025 OMA 95 – 85 UND
Mar 11, 2024 OMA 73 – 72 UND

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OMA UND
Overall 9-23 13-20
Conference 4-14 6-12
Home 5-7 8-8
Away 1-15 4-11
Neutral 3-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.4 70.6
Avg Pts Against 76.3 75.1
Massey -6.2 (#277) -8.6 (#315)
Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#218) -1.67 (#316)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.67 (#221) -1.84 (#303)
RPI 0.489 (#197) 0.400 (#334)
Shooting & Four Factors OMA UND
FG% 44.0% 42.5%
3PT% 32.3% 33.0%
REB / G 31.2 33.1
OREB / G 8.1 9.3
AST / TO 0.88 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 49.1%
TOV% 20.2% 20.6%
ORB% 24.5% 27.5%
FT Rate 23.9% 20.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 15.7%
DRB% 68.8% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 19.8%

Game Analysis

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