I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Horizon League · Resch Center · January 13, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -9.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money GB +400 / WRST -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual WRST +32 166 Lost
Massey WRST -7.5 (-24.5) — —
Massey Totals — 144.2 (+21.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 32% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 24% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -8.2 (-23.8) 146.9 (+19.1) 25% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -10.1 (-21.9) 147.6 (+18.4) 19% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -6.8 (-25.2) 145.7 (+20.3) 28% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -7.1 (-24.9) 146.5 (+19.5) 27% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 WRST 83 – 75 GB
Dec 7, 2025 WRST 86 – 58 GB
Feb 16, 2025 GB 79 – 68 WRST
Jan 3, 2025 WRST 74 – 51 GB
Jan 19, 2024 GB 88 – 81 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB WRST
Overall 3-29 18-15
Conference 2-18 10-10
Home 2-10 9-6
Away 1-17 7-8
Neutral 0-2 2-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 59.3 78.3
Avg Pts Against 76.5 74.7
Massey -14.8 (#355) -3.3 (#233)
Bradley-Terry -2.34 (#345) -0.88 (#264)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.90 (#346) -0.95 (#247)
RPI 0.369 (#352) 0.437 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors GB WRST
FG% 41.4% 47.6%
3PT% 27.9% 33.7%
REB / G 27.8 35.3
OREB / G 7.1 9.3
AST / TO 0.74 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 51.9%
TOV% 22.1% 17.5%
ORB% 22.1% 26.5%
FT Rate 24.9% 14.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.7% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 18.4%
DRB% 67.6% 76.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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