Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +1 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -3.3 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -1.5 (+0.5) | 153.7 (-4.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -0.5 (-0.5) | 149.1 (-0.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -2.0 (+1.0) | 150.8 (-1.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -1.1 (+0.1) | 151.0 (-2.0) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | GONZ 88 – 81 BYU |
| Feb 6, 2022 | GONZ 90 – 57 BYU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | GONZ 110 – 84 BYU |
| Mar 10, 2021 | GONZ 88 – 78 BYU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | GONZ 82 – 71 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-7 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 9-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 85.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#85) | 13.5 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#89) | 3.38 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#77) | 4.40 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#102) | 0.670 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 78.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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