Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -1400 BYU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +10 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -11.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -9.8 (+0.2) | 157.0 (+9.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -8.3 (+1.7) | 155.1 (+10.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -9.1 (+0.9) | 157.2 (+8.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -8.5 (+1.5) | 155.7 (+10.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | GONZ 88 – 81 BYU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | GONZ 75 – 74 BYU |
| Feb 6, 2022 | GONZ 90 – 57 BYU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | GONZ 110 – 84 BYU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | GONZ 82 – 71 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 10-3 |
| Home | 12-0 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-0 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 24.8 (#1) | 13.5 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.52 (#1) | 2.83 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.20 (#1) | 3.39 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#1) | 0.636 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.2% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.0% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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