Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -1000 BYU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +7 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -11.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -11.7 (-4.7) | 156.3 (+12.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -11.1 (-4.1) | 156.1 (+12.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -11.4 (-4.4) | 156.9 (+12.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -10.0 (-3.0) | 157.5 (+11.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2023 | GONZ 75 – 74 BYU |
| Feb 6, 2022 | GONZ 90 – 57 BYU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | GONZ 110 – 84 BYU |
| Mar 10, 2021 | GONZ 88 – 78 BYU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | GONZ 82 – 71 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 7-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#13) | 6.5 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#10) | 0.71 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#5) | 1.13 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#4) | 0.535 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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