Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -1400 BYU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +26 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -13.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+42.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -10.8 (+15.2) | 151.0 (+43.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -10.9 (+15.1) | 155.0 (+39.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -11.3 (+14.7) | 152.4 (+41.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -10.7 (+15.3) | 150.6 (+43.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | GONZ 88 – 81 BYU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | GONZ 75 – 74 BYU |
| Feb 6, 2022 | GONZ 90 – 57 BYU |
| Mar 10, 2021 | GONZ 88 – 78 BYU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | GONZ 82 – 71 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 9-6 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-1 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 21.2 (#3) | 11.8 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.09 (#16) | 2.24 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.65 (#6) | 3.07 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#43) | 0.635 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 42.9 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.