Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | BYU +550 GONZ -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -8.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -7.6 (-3.4) | 159.3 (-6.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -6.1 (-4.9) | 153.7 (-0.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -5.3 (-5.7) | 157.9 (-4.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -5.1 (-5.9) | 155.2 (-2.2) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | GONZ 88 – 81 BYU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | GONZ 75 – 74 BYU |
| Feb 6, 2022 | GONZ 90 – 57 BYU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | GONZ 110 – 84 BYU |
| Mar 10, 2021 | GONZ 88 – 78 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 31-1 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 15-0 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-0 |
| Away | 7-2 | 7-0 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 12-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 91.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#30) | 23.9 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#24) | 5.14 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#26) | 6.90 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#8) | 0.662 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 55.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 60.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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