Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +12 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | COR -1.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -2.4 (+9.6) | 145.3 (+30.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -1.7 (+10.3) | 143.9 (+32.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -2.1 (+9.9) | 145.3 (+30.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -1.9 (+10.1) | 145.0 (+31.0) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-1 |
| Away | 6-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#95) | 7.7 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#100) | 0.45 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#94) | 0.76 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#117) | 0.509 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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