Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -163 UNCO +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -9.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -7.6 (+0.4) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -5.7 (+2.3) | 145.7 (-9.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -7.4 (+0.6) | 147.6 (-11.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -6.8 (+1.2) | 149.0 (-13.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#187) | -6.1 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#159) | -0.97 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#168) | -1.10 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#142) | 0.458 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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